dog power Oscar nomination morning surpasses almost everyone’s expectations, becoming the most nominated film since 2017 water size With 12 nodes in total. So the question is, how many of them can win the nomination?
close to guarantee
Netflix may have its first Best Picture winner in Jane Campion’s Patient, carefully made western. It’s the only film this year that checks all the boxes of a Best Picture nominee in general — a fall festival premiere, a DGA nomination, an editing nomination, multiple SAG nominations, and a strong chance of winning screenplay or director. It has Best Picture wins from the vast majority of critics, as well as top awards from the Critics’ Choice, Golden Globes and BAFTA Awards. PGA picks SAG winner codaBut even so, the film’s nominations are so strong that it would still be hard to deny.
Jane Campion is a lock to win Best Director. Many people take issue with the word “lock”, but trust me I will not regret using it here. Even if the film didn’t win any other awards, it would. She is the only female director to receive a second nomination in this category, and her film has been endlessly praised for her meticulous, detailed craftsmanship. His “Ideless” Critics’ Choice Comment Won’t even make a dent.
A few weeks ago, it looked like Jane Campion would win three Oscars as a producer, director, and screenwriter. it all changed when coda Surprised everyone by winning the BAFTA for Adapted Screenplay. codaVictory Comes Right After a Major SAG Ensemble victory, indicating strong momentum for the film as a whole. As was the case with Chloe Zhao last year, Campion’s directorial win is so expected that it is possible that voters may spill the money into the screenplay category, which Campion had already won for 1993. the piano, There cannot be any category for which I am struggling to predict more. A coin can also be flipped.
Ari Wegner has a chance to become the first woman to win the Best Cinematography award for her work as the film’s DP. She won a Critics’ Choice award, but will face stiff competition from the work of BAFTA winner Grieg Fraser Doon, and six-time nominee Bruno Delbonnell for his work The Tragedy of Macbeth. This range can go in any direction, and Wegener’s chances are as good as anyone’s.
Cody Smit-McPhee’s momentum for Best Supporting Actor came to a halt when Troy Kotsur won the SAG Award. McPhee won critics’ awards and a Golden Globe for his quiet, elusive performance as Peter, but this is Kotsur’s more viscerally emotional work. coda Which seems to be appealing to the voters. BAFTAs and Critics’ Choice all agreed with SAG. However, if anyone can spoil, it’s McPhee. Benedict Cumberbatch, like McPhee, won the lion’s share of critics’ awards for Best Actor, but lost all majors to Will Smith. Cumberbatch is almost certainly the runner-up, but it would be a big blow if he wins.
Considering the BAFTA, Critics’ Choice, and ACE awards all went to different films, the Best Editing award is up in the air. Dune feels like the forefront here, as it’s likely to pick up Best Sound, a category that ties heavily with the editing award. It is worth noting that in addition Dune, dog power Is the only sound nominee who has also been nominated for editing. Although it doesn’t look likely, there is a chance it could get worse here. Johnny Greenwood is also a potential spoiler for his work as the film’s composer, but for him to defeat Hans Zimmer’s work. Dune would be highly unlikely.
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Kirsten Dunst is set to lose to Ariana DeBos in the supporting actress category, and her fiance Jesse Plemons is lucky to be nominated in Supporting Actor. The nominations for the film’s sparse production design and sound design were a surprise on the morning of nominations, and the win seems almost completely out of reach.
Oddly enough, there’s a world where The Power of the Dog just directs and takes pictures. It would have been a pretty weak package, especially considering the film’s 10 other nominations, but it was only two awards. BAFTA. won in, A good day for the film could look something like the Critics’ Choice Awards, where it received four awards Including adapted screenplay and cinematography. Given that no other award group dared to nominate the film for 12 awards, we might be extra upset in the acting category or the craft category.
I predict dog power Will take three awards: Picture, Director, and one of two Cinematography or adapted screenplay. Check back on CinemaBlend for more rewards analysis.
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